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Fixed Income

US Government Shutdown Looming…
High-Yield Munis: Not Worth The Risk, But Still Better Than Junk…
Japanese GDP Reaches Escape Velocity…
Back To The Highs…

High-Yield municipal bonds have performed well in recent years, but valuations are now stretched. We recommend an underweight allocation, though we prefer high-yield munis over high-yield corporate bonds.

Inspired by a client’s questions, we examine the rationale behind the implementation of the trailing stop governing our near-term asset allocation recommendations.

Unsustainable Divergences…

Numerous divergences have opened up between global risk assets and global business cycle variables. These gaps are unsustainable, and odds are that the recoupling will occur to the downside with risk assets selling off.

US Core CPI Inflation: Steady In July…
Return Scenarios For Holding US Treasurys Are Asymmetrical…