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  BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service concludes that investors should go long German curve steepeners. Last week at Davos, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde leaned heavily against the…
The ECB will begin cutting rates in June, what does this start date imply for the yield curve and European cyclicals?
  Results of the ZEW survey sent a slightly positive signal on German investor sentiment. The economic expectations indicator rose to an 11-month high in January – beating consensus estimates of a decline. This increased…
  According to BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service, investors should not chase European equities higher from current levels. The soft-landing narrative has captured the minds of investors. The expectations…
The soft-landing narrative has won, but is too much of a good thing now expected by investors?
  Australian CPI inflation fell from 4.9% y/y to a 22-month low of 4.3% y/y in November – slightly below expectations of 4.4%. Underlying measures of core inflation also indicate that price pressures eased in November. The…
Special Report In this, our final report of the year, we present our main global fixed income investment themes and recommendations for 2024.
Special Report Explore the eight main themes that will drive the returns of European assets in 2024.
  As expected, the ECB kept its policy rate unchanged on Thursday. In the updated macroeconomic projections, the central bank revised down its inflation and growth forecasts for next year. It now expects inflation to ease to 2.7…
Special Report Political economy dominates fundamentals going into 2024, as states prepare for war and de-risk supply chains. Asynchronous global growth will elevate commodity-price volatility. We expect oil to trade above $100/bbl in 2024 and…