Sorry, you need to enable JavaScript to visit this website.
Skip to main content
Skip to main content

High Food Prices Drive EM Inflation
Executive Summary   The surge in food prices following Russia's invasion of Ukraine will drive EM headline inflation higher, given more of individuals' incomes in these economies are spent on food. Economies in the…
Commodity & Energy Strategy by Ashwin Shyam
FX Consequences Of The US-Russia Conflict
Special Report Executive Summary The US Still Dominates Economic Output  While the Ukraine war has been positive for the greenback, there is a slow tectonic shift away from the dollar as China rethinks holding concentrated foreign currency…
Geopolitical Strategy, Foreign Exchange Strategy by Matt Gertken, Chester Ntonifor
Die Cast By EU: Inflation, Recession Risks Rise
Special Report Executive Summary Europe's Largest Import Bill: Oil  The EU crossed the Rubicon this week, proposing to eliminate Russian oil imports within six months. The speed of putting the sanctions into effect, and Russia’s…
Commodity & Energy Strategy, Geopolitical Strategy by Matt Gertken
Energy Cutoff (GeoRisk Update)
Executive Summary German GeoRisk Indicator  Russia and Germany have begun cutting off each other’s energy in a major escalation of strategic tensions. The odds of Finland and Sweden joining NATO have shot up. A halt…
Geopolitical Strategy by Yushu Ma, Matt Gertken, Jesse Anak Kuri, Guy Russell
Poland: On The Frontline Of Geopolitical Tensions
  Russia’s move to halt natural gas exports to Poland and Bulgaria (see Indicator Spotlight) has increased geopolitical uncertainty in Central Europe and will negatively impact Polish financial markets. BCA’s Emerging…
Daily Insights
Russia Cuts Gas To Poland And Bulgaria
  Russia’s state-owned Gazprom cut off natural gas exports to Poland and Bulgaria on Wednesday in response to their refusal to pay for natgas purchases in rubles. This decision marks a further deterioration in the…
Daily Insights
Here Comes Goldilocks
Listen to a short summary of this report.         Executive Summary Small Caps Are Looking Attractive Relative To Their Large Cap Peers  Adverse supply shocks have pushed down global growth this year…
Global Investment Strategy by Peter Berezin
Indo-Russian Relations: Quo Vadis?
Special Report Executive Summary The Declining Value Of An Old Friendship  India may buy cheap oil from Russia, but oil alone cannot expand this partnership. India needs to maintain a balance of power against China and Pakistan. With…
Geopolitical Strategy by Ritika Mankar, Matt Gertken
War, Lockdowns, Rate Hikes Depress Oil Demand
Executive Summary Brent Stable As Demand + Supply Fall  Oil demand growth will slow this year and next by 1.6mm b/d and 1mm b/d, respectively. These expectations are in line with sharp downgrades in World Bank and IMF…
Commodity & Energy Strategy by Ashwin Shyam
Copper Demand Will Ignore Recession
Executive Summary Copper Will Remain Tight Even In Recession  Supply-chain disruptions arising from Russia's invasion of Ukraine and demand hits from lockdowns in Shanghai are increasing the odds of a global recession,…
Commodity & Energy Strategy by Ashwin Shyam

Related Topics

Asia Frontier Markets Latin America Middle East & North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa See more Topics