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Cyclicals vs Defensives

This Special Report examines the post-pandemic evolution of consumption growth, relative equity sector and subindustry performance and recent commentary from consumer-facing companies to assess the likelihood that softer spending among lower-income households will spread to middle- and upper-income households.

Defensives’ Outperformance Offer False Sense Of Breadth…
Global Equities Will Lag Bonds…
Swedish Spreads Augur Poorly For Eurozone Stocks And Currency…

Crucial leading indicators of the global and European economies continue to deteriorate. How should investors position their European portfolios to benefit from these trends?

What Could Durably Reverse US Equities’ Relative Outperformance…
Improved Consumer Confidence Hides Labor Market Pessimism In August…

Favor Health Care and Utilities for defensive positioning amid economic slowdown and volatility as the presidential election approaches. A Republican Sweep favors Real Estate and Materials, while the second most likely outcome, Democrat gridlock, favors Health Care, and Information Technology.

Sound Household Balance Sheets Won’t Save The Eurozone…
Cyclical Investors Should Fade The Relief Rally…