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Highlights Portfolio Strategy Rising demand for packaging materials, increasing industry pricing power along with compelling relative valuations signal that ignored containers and packaging stocks are a hidden gem within the S&P…
Highlights President Biden’s $2.4 trillion “American Jobs Plan” is a major US public investment that will dispel any endogenous deflationary tail risk from the US economy this cycle, increase inflation expectations…
Highlights Fiscal stimulus is no longer a free lunch. US mortgage applications are down by 20 percent since the start of February. With rising bond yields now starting to choke private sector borrowing, bond yields are nearing an…
While the Fed’s dots dovishly surprised, the FOMC’s output and inflation projections were on the hawkish side. Adding the committee’s core PCE price inflation estimate for 2021 to their real GDP forecast results in a…
Highlights Duration: Only 2 of the 5 items on our Checklist For Increasing Portfolio Duration have been checked. We will heed this message and stick with below-benchmark portfolio duration for the time being. We will have an…
  Underweight “COVID-19 Winners” hypermarket equities remain a solid underweight call. Worrisomely, relative share prices recently broke down and propelled relative returns for our portfolio into the double digits…
  Today we close two high-conviction trades and place a stop buy order for the June 2021 expiry VIX futures as a hedge to the remaining positions. Homebuilders have proven to be more resilient than we expected, especially…
Dear client, Next week instead of our regular Strategy Report we will be sending you a Special Report from BCA’s Equity Analyzer service on Inflation and Factor investing penned by my colleague Lucas Laskey, Senior Quantitative…
  Underweight Countercyclical consumer staples stocks served their purpose and supported our portfolio in the front half of 2020. Now that vaccines are here, we added the S&P consumer staples sector to the high-conviction…
Dear client, Next Monday December 14, 2020 we will be hosting our last webcasts for the year “From Alpha To Omega With Anastasios”, one at 10am EST for our US, European and Middle Eastern clients and one at 8pm EST for our…