Consumer Discretionary
Dear Client, As is custom every year, next Monday November 30 instead of our regular Strategy Report you will receive BCA’s flagship publication “The Bank Credit Analyst” detailing the house views and themes for next year. Our regular publishing schedule resumes on December 7 with our 2021 High-…
Too Much Homebuilding Euphoria…
Dear client, Next Monday, October 19, we will be hosting our quarterly webcast, “From Alpha To Omega With Anastasios”, at 10am EST; Matt Gertken, BCA’s Geopolitical Strategist will be our guest on the eve of the US Presidential Election. Our regular weekly publication will resume on Monday…
Cement Gains In The Internet Retail Index And In The Consumer Discretionary Sector…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy We opt to stay patient and refrain from deploying fresh capital especially in the tech sector in the near-term; a better entry point will likely materialize between now and the end of the year. The softening demand backdrop that is weighing on selling prices, the…
Neutral In mid-April we went overweight the S&P home improvement retail (HIR) index on the back of demand-stimulating zero interest rate monetary policy, loose fiscal policy as well as rising lumber prices. As a reminder, HIR companies make a set margin on lumber sales, hence higher lumber…
Retailers Are On Fire…
Highlights COVID-19 shutdowns have intensified the pressure on the original “everything stores,” … : A combination of factors has been weighing on department stores since at least the early 2000s. Pandemic store closures have turned up the heat. … and turned an unwelcome spotlight on the…
Highlights Even after the COVID-19 pandemic is over, likely within 18 months, many behavioral changes that were forced on society by social distancing will remain. Individuals who have gotten used to working from home, shopping online, and using the internet for socializing and entertainment…
Highlights While difficult to forecast, the trajectory of global auto sales likely will follow that of GDP growth (Chart of the Week). As a result, palladium’s supply constraints will re-emerge, but its “epic rally” likely unfolds at a slower pace as global economic conditions normalize at an…