Reports out of China suggesting that the Ministry of Finance is considering allowing local governments to bring forward 1.5 trillion yuan ($220 billion) of next year’s special bond issuance to the second half of this year…
Executive Summary Caught In Risk-Off Selling Weak Chinese and European economies are suppressing copper demand and helping to temper prices in a market that remains fundamentally tight. Weaker US GDP growth could put the…
Executive Summary Buying a home is now more expensive than renting in many parts of the world. In the US and UK, disappearing homebuyers combined with a flood of home-sellers will weigh on home prices over the next 6-12 months.…
According to BCA Research’s China Investment Strategy service, China’s auto sales are set to have a gradual recovery in 2022H2. The team expects auto sales to reach 26.2-26.8 million units by the end of this year,…
China’s service sector is expanding anew after 3 months of contraction. The China Caixin non-manufacturing PMI surged to 54.5 in June from 41.4 in May, handily exceeding expectations of 49.6, and pointing to the…
Executive Summary China: GeoRisk Indicator A new equilibrium between NATO, which now includes Sweden and Finland, and Russia needs to be reestablished before geopolitical risks in Europe subside. Russia aims to inflict a…
In this Strategy Outlook, we present the major investment themes and views we see playing out for the rest of the year and beyond.
Executive Summary Accelerating wages will make core consumer inflation sticky in the US. In addition, inflation is a lagging variable and is still well above the Fed’s target. These dynamics imply that the Fed will not make a…
Executive Summary Long-Term Contracts Needed To Increase LNG Supply The EU will have to reverse course and execute long-term contracts with natural gas producers, LNG shippers and pipeline operators to incentivize…