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BCA Indicators/Model

The Fed's Balance Sheet Policy In 2024…
A Lukewarm Signal From The Beige Book…
Bitcoin Will Displace Gold In The $15 Trillion Non-Confiscatability Market…

In this note, we preview the Q4-2023 earnings season and share what we will be watching.

Tracking The Performance Of The BCA Score…
Will The Surge In Taiwanese Exports Be Sustained…
The Signal From US Equity Valuations And Technicals…

Following today’s US jobs data release, the Joshi rule real-time US recession indicator inched up to 0.18 and is now just a whisker from its recession event-horizon of 0.20.

An End To The Herd Mentality Among Central Banks…

The Republican Party’s odds of winning the 2024 election will benefit, if anything, from state courts’ attempts to exclude President Trump from primary or general election ballots. Higher odds of a change of ruling party will increase stock and bond market volatility.