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Sweden

In this FX note, we provide a rationale for why it is important to pay attention to technical indicators, while still keeping your eyeball on the structural factors that drive currencies. This report answers the following questions: 1. Should you buy or sell the USD over a three-to-six month period from the pure lens of our proven technical indicators and 2. What are the best tactical cross trades among currencies. 

The easing bias remains, but not all central banks are equal. This Central Bank Monitor update reveals who is ready to cut more and who is still pretending not to.

Rate cuts, recession risks, and relative value. This report unpacks how the BoE, Riksbank, and Norges Bank are reacting to global trade turmoil and where the opportunities lie.

The Riksbank’s cautious stance sets up a dovish pivot, reinforcing our long Swedish bonds view and SEK fade vs. USD. The central bank held rates at 2.25% for the second time this year, with Governor Thedéen describing policy as well-balanced despite rising…

This week, our three screeners cover equity plays in: Canadian Consumer Staples, high-beta Swedish equities, and factor plays across global equities.

特別レポート

Europe’s near-term outlook remains clouded by uncertainty, even after the tariff reprieve. Our latest update breaks down why the risks to growth, profits, and financial conditions are still skewed to the downside — with Sweden standing out as a key bellwether.

This report looks at the FX implications of the Trump tariffs, and the review of our Q1 trades.

The SEK’s sharp rally is losing steam as local data weakens and EUR strength looks stretched. After appreciating more than 10% against the USD year-to-date, the krona is now showing signs of fatigue. Recent Swedish data has disappointed, with the Economic…
今週、当社のセントラル・バンク・モニターズ(CBMs)を更新しました。これらは先進国経済における金融政策をどのように調整すべきかを見極めるのに役立ちます。結論としては、全体としてより緩和的な金融政策が求められるものの、G10諸国間のシグナルの乖離から生じるいくつかのトレード・アイデアがあります。

This week, we cover the main questions we fielded during our latest client trip in Europe. Among the many topics broached are Europe’s recession odds, the impact of China’s stimulus, and the outlook for European markets.