Developed Countries
Our Geopolitical strategists received a lot of client questions following rapid US political developments, and addressed them in their latest report. US policy uncertainty is spiking, driving global uncertainty higher. Tariff implementation in March and April…
Europe’s resilience to global liquidity deterioration isn’t a fluke—it signals a structural shift. Our latest report explains why the decline in precautionary money demand marks the end of Europe’s liquidity trap and what it means for investors.
January PCE inflation was in line with expectations, with headline and core inflation rising 0.3% m/m, leaving the respective annual growth rates at 2.5% and 2.6%, near the Fed’s projection for 2025. Consumer spending missed expectations and was weak in both…
The February Tokyo CPI print came in slightly cooler than expected. Headline inflation moderated to 2.9% y/y from 3.4%, while “core core” was steady at 1.9%. The Tokyo CPI gives an advance reading on national price pressures, and the data suggests inflation…
Our Chart Of The Week comes from Juan Correa, from our Global Asset Allocation (GAA) strategy service. Juan highlights weakening US growth observed in the data lately. We have seen a few growth slowdown episodes since 2022. Why is this time different? Because…
Our Bank Credit Analyst strategists published their latest monthly report, and Section II aims to assess whether AI is leading to a productivity increase. Our colleagues remain unconvinced that Generative AI is a true productivity revolution, though it is…
マクロクォント・モデルはもはやエクイティに対して強気ではないが、まだアンダーウェイトに転じる準備はできていない。主観的には、グローバル・インベストメント・ストラテジー・チームはモデルよりもエクイティに対して弱気だ。
マクロクォント・モデルはもはやエクイティに対して強気ではないが、まだアンダーウェイトに転じる準備はできていない。主観的には、グローバル・インベストメント・ストラテジー・チームはモデルよりもエクイティに対して弱気である。
US January core new orders beat expectations, rising 0.8% m/m, an acceleration from 0.2% in December. This measure, which excludes defense and aircraft from capital goods, is used as a proxy for business investment. Core shipments however decreased 0.3%. The…