Italia

A pesar de las preocupaciones sobre la sostenibilidad fiscal, un aumento en las primas por plazo y los ataques a la independencia de los bancos centrales, la política monetaria sigue siendo el principal motor de los mercados de bonos. En nuestro Informe y Perspectivas del tercer trimestre, actualizamos nuestras opiniones e identificamos oportunidades en bonos gubernamentales, futuros de tasas de interés a corto plazo, curvas de rendimiento globales, bonos ligados a la inflación y crédito.

Europe’s deflation problem is getting harder to ignore. This week’s ECB cut is just the beginning — tariffs, the euro’s rally, and softening demand all point to more easing ahead. We explain what it means for yields, equities, and EUR/USD.

Informe especial

We are at a pivotal moment for Europe, supported by structural reforms and macro catalysts. While expanding credit markets and lower rates favor Private Equity over Private Credit, opportunities vary by segment. Large+ Buyouts are attractive as markets have priced in structural challenges. We downgrade Europe Private Credit, remain neutral on Europe Private Equity broadly but overweight Europe vs. North America in PE portfolios.

Informe especial

Questions about fiscal risks and their impact on bond markets have become more frequent in client conversations. This Special Report provides a framework to assess a country’s fiscal sustainability and how it affects its bond market outlook. On an individual country basis, Spain has shown a remarkable turnaround in its fiscal sustainability outlook while the fiscal outlook for France continues to deteriorate.

France finds itself in a unique, thorny situation. Can it heave itself out of it? And what does it mean for investors? 

Informe especial

Germany’s economy has lagged that of the rest of Europe for nearly 10 years. So have German stocks. Investors are extrapolating these trends to bet on the country’s deindustrialization. Could Germany manage to beat dismal expectations?