Corporate Bonds
The ECB's intended purchases of corporate bonds will not sustainably lift the asset-class. But we have found a compelling long-term opportunity in the sovereign bond market, and a way to hedge Brexit risk.
Some tentative signs of life in the global manufacturing data suggest that Treasury yields have some room to move higher in the near term.
We continue to recommend a cautious investment stance, staying at benchmark duration, as the recovery in risk assets looks more like a counter-trend rally than the start of a new bullish run.
We are sending you the Q2 <i>Global Investment Strategy Outlook</i>, which discusses the ten predictions we expect to drive global financial markets throughout the rest of the year.
Several tail risks appear less ominous compared to last month. Nonetheless, the earnings outlook has not improved and the FOMC will turn more hawkish ahead of the June meeting. Stay defensively positioned.
Risk assets are stuck in a range driven by the Fed feedback loop. But the current rally may continue for another quarter or two.
In this <i>Special Report</i>, we present a detailed discussion on the outlook for Australian credit markets. Our conclusion is that investors should begin increasing exposure to Australian spread product.
The inflation outlook priced into the market is overly bearish, and TIPS breakevens will move higher as the drag on inflation from food and energy prices dissipates.
The Fed's recent dovishness represents an acknowledgement of the feedback loop between Fed policy and financial conditions. Expect Fed hawkishness to ramp back up prior to the next rate hike, likely in June.
The Fed's recent dovishness represents an acknowledgement of the feedback loop between Fed policy and financial conditions. Expect Fed hawkishness to ramp back up prior to the next rate hike, likely in June.