The Long-Term US Inflation Outlook: Fire Or Ice?
In Section II, Jonathan discusses the arguments in favor and against the view that US inflation will be structurally elevated over the longer term. Our base case view remains that US inflation will not be significantly above 2%, but this view may change if US tariffs are put in place permanently and the US avoids a recession.
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BCA Research | The Bank Credit Analyst
The Bank Credit Analyst has been published continuously since 1949, covering developments in the US and global economy, with a focus on inflation, debt, and policy trends in order to generate investment advice.
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