Insights Gain insight into our independent global macro research through these complimentary reports All China & Emerging Markets Commodities Economy Geopolitics Monetary Policy Private Markets Apply Commodities Heed The Signal From Commodities As an industrial metal, copper acts as a barometer of economic activity. Silver and gold are safe-haven assets with infl... Is Gold A Good Place To Hide? Despite the recent market rout, gold’s performance has maintained its leadership position. Global equities are up 7.5% i... Commodities As A Late-Cycle Investment According to BCA Research’s Commodity & Energy Strategy service, commodity prices typically rally toward the end of ... Monetary Policy DM Growth Slows Further In September Preliminary estimates suggest that activity continued to slow across DM economies in September.Manufacturing PMIs contra... How The US Could Cheat A GDP Recession According to BCA Research’s Counterpoint Strategy service, the post-pandemic US economy has inverted from its usual ‘dem... The Sahm Rule Is Not A Leading Indicator For The Economy Market and economic observers have devoted a lot of attention to the Sahm Rule following July’s employment report, and w... Private Markets Transitions To Serious Delinquencies Will Cap Credit Card Loan Growth Consumer credit growth disappointed in June. Total credit outstanding rose by USD 8.9 billion, in June, lower than May's... Early-Stage VC: Aerospace & Space Technology According to BCA Research’s Private Markets & Alternatives service, Artificial Intelligence is old news. Given such,... Will Private Investment Save Growth? BCA Research has been writing extensively on how consumption fueled by excess savings has been propping up the US econom... China & Emerging Markets China Needs Fiscal, Not Monetary Easing The PBoC lowered the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 bps on Monday, a move that follows a string of easing measures in la... Eurozone CPI At 3-Year Low Paves Way For September Cut After surprising to the upside in July on higher energy costs, Eurozone CPI resumed its deceleration in August. Headline... No Improvement In Chinese Inflation China’s CPI and PPI prints surprised to the upside on Friday. Producer prices contracted -0.8%y/y, unchanged from June, ... Geopolitics Seven Geopolitical October Surprises According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service, seven surprises with non-negligible odds could tip the scale ... If Trump Wins Sunny States, But Dems Hold Pennsylvania According to BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service, there is a strange quirk about Walz and the state of Nebraska... Investment Implications Of Election and Trump Policies According to BCA Research’s US Equity Strategy service, the stock market outperformance in 2024 thus far is an unusual p... Economy Recession Remains Our Base Case One key takeaway from Wednesday’s post-FOMC press conference is the Fed’s unshaken conviction that it can avoid a recess... What Could Durably Reverse US Equities’ Relative Outperformance? According to our Bank Credit Analyst service, an inflection point in the relative performance of US stocks is not likely... CEOs More Cautious, But Still See No Recession The Conference Board measure of CEO Confidence declined in Q3, from 54 to 52, its lowest level so far this year. Still, ...
Heed The Signal From Commodities As an industrial metal, copper acts as a barometer of economic activity. Silver and gold are safe-haven assets with infl...
Is Gold A Good Place To Hide? Despite the recent market rout, gold’s performance has maintained its leadership position. Global equities are up 7.5% i...
Commodities As A Late-Cycle Investment According to BCA Research’s Commodity & Energy Strategy service, commodity prices typically rally toward the end of ...
DM Growth Slows Further In September Preliminary estimates suggest that activity continued to slow across DM economies in September.Manufacturing PMIs contra...
How The US Could Cheat A GDP Recession According to BCA Research’s Counterpoint Strategy service, the post-pandemic US economy has inverted from its usual ‘dem...
The Sahm Rule Is Not A Leading Indicator For The Economy Market and economic observers have devoted a lot of attention to the Sahm Rule following July’s employment report, and w...
Transitions To Serious Delinquencies Will Cap Credit Card Loan Growth Consumer credit growth disappointed in June. Total credit outstanding rose by USD 8.9 billion, in June, lower than May's...
Early-Stage VC: Aerospace & Space Technology According to BCA Research’s Private Markets & Alternatives service, Artificial Intelligence is old news. Given such,...
Will Private Investment Save Growth? BCA Research has been writing extensively on how consumption fueled by excess savings has been propping up the US econom...
China Needs Fiscal, Not Monetary Easing The PBoC lowered the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 bps on Monday, a move that follows a string of easing measures in la...
Eurozone CPI At 3-Year Low Paves Way For September Cut After surprising to the upside in July on higher energy costs, Eurozone CPI resumed its deceleration in August. Headline...
No Improvement In Chinese Inflation China’s CPI and PPI prints surprised to the upside on Friday. Producer prices contracted -0.8%y/y, unchanged from June, ...
Seven Geopolitical October Surprises According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service, seven surprises with non-negligible odds could tip the scale ...
If Trump Wins Sunny States, But Dems Hold Pennsylvania According to BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service, there is a strange quirk about Walz and the state of Nebraska...
Investment Implications Of Election and Trump Policies According to BCA Research’s US Equity Strategy service, the stock market outperformance in 2024 thus far is an unusual p...
Recession Remains Our Base Case One key takeaway from Wednesday’s post-FOMC press conference is the Fed’s unshaken conviction that it can avoid a recess...
What Could Durably Reverse US Equities’ Relative Outperformance? According to our Bank Credit Analyst service, an inflection point in the relative performance of US stocks is not likely...
CEOs More Cautious, But Still See No Recession The Conference Board measure of CEO Confidence declined in Q3, from 54 to 52, its lowest level so far this year. Still, ...
