CoreMacro
BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.
The stars have aligned for a major outperformance of Chilean stocks versus the EM equity benchmark. Plummeting inflation in Chile will push monetary authorities to continue their aggressive rate cuts, engineering a quick economic recovery this year. We maintain our overweight stance on Chilean stocks and fixed income, and recommend investors go long Chilean banks / short the overall EM index, buy 10-year government bonds, and go long CLP / short COP.
Our Central Bank Monitors support European central bankers’ decision to hold rates steady. Find out what it means for European fixed-income portfolio allocation.
The Saudi economy is facing internal and external headwinds. The geopolitical conflict is also escalating in the Middle East. EM equity portfolios should stay neutral on Saudi stocks. EM sovereign credit portfolios should upgrade Saudi Arabia from neutral to overweight.
Following the release of the white paper yesterday, today we are sending you the inaugural issue of the MacroQuant Monthly, a report summarizing the output of our next-generation MacroQuant 2.0 model.
We describe and explain the wide disparity of wage inflation across G7 economies, and discuss what it means for the Fed, ECB, BoE, and BoJ policy moves in the coming year. Plus: we highlight two investments ripe for reversal, and two investments ripe for rebound.
Today we are sending you the white paper introducing our next-generation MacroQuant 2.0 model. Two years in the making, this model distills everything I have learned about economics and financial markets over the past 30 years into simple buy and sell signals.
Is the rebound in European PMIs enough to boost the appeal of European risk assets?