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Investors see Europe as a museum: A continent stuck in the past, with no ability to innovate, much less generate profits. But is this view accurate? In this report we argue that the structural headwinds to European profitability are a thing of the past. Political change and improving sentiment are also a tailwind for Europe. Meanwhile, in the US, economic uncertainty brought about by Trump’s policies have reversed the surge in animal spirits that followed the election. All of this is happening within the context of weakening growth. We upgrade European equities from neutral to overweight and downgrade US equities from neutral to underweight.
Europe’s resilience to global liquidity deterioration isn’t a fluke—it signals a structural shift. Our latest report explains why the decline in precautionary money demand marks the end of Europe’s liquidity trap and what it means for investors.
This week, our three screeners cover equity plays in European Banks, US Financials, And US Stocks that are “Grave Diggers”.
Trump’s ceasefire talks are positive for Germany – and so was the German election result. But Trump’s tariffs will hit Germany soon. Investors should use near-term volatility to increase exposure to Germany.
Eurozone banks have quietly outpaced the Magnificent 7—can they keep winning? With strong balance sheets, rising profitability, and structural tailwinds, European lenders still offer value despite short-term risks. Meanwhile, German equities continue to defy expectations, but is a near-term pullback on the horizon?