Ukraine: Oil Is The Missing Link
The media is missing the big picture: the war is already contained. The falling oil price confirms that. We fully expect cold feet and volatility incidents in the very near term but there is only a 5% chance of Russia triggering a larger war with NATO – and that is what really matters.
Interested in reading this report?
To access the full BCA Research report, request a complimentary copy
BCA Research | Geopolitical Strategy
The financial industry’s premier geopolitical research service. We use hard data to calculate scenario probabilities and market impacts for geopolitical risks and opportunities.
Stay Connected with BCA
Get our latest events and research insights delivered to your inbox.