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Monthly Report

Capex, The Other K-Shaped Economy

by Doug Peta, Chief Strategist   Mathieu Savary, Chief Strategist, Developed Markets ex US & Head of Research Innovation  

In Section I, Doug compares projected S&P 500 earnings and current capex to past cycles at the same stage of their expansions while also exploring the K-shaped bifurcation in business investment. In Section II, Mathieu argues that Australia and Canada are unloved, undervalued, and on the cusp of a structural re-rating. Long-term investors who wait for the catalysts to become obvious will miss the entry point.

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The Bank Credit Analyst has been published continuously since 1949, covering developments in the US and global economy, with a focus on inflation, debt, and policy trends in order to generate investment advice.

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