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Beware Of Alligator Bites: Macro Adjustments Ahead

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

Alligator Bite #1: As US net portfolio inflows decline (the alligator's upper jaw closes), its current account deficit must narrow (the lower jaw will also shut). Alligator Bite #2: As the US current account deficit shrinks (the lower jaw closes), current account surpluses in the rest of the world will narrow (the upper jaw will come down).

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