Global Macro & Market Outlook A concise view of the global cycle, market risks, and the portfolio implications that matter. Image Hormuz, Europe, Japan And The Fed Sphinx Section I outlines BCA’s views on the US-Iran conflict, Europe’s near-term outlook, the currency and bond selloffs in Japan and the early days of the Warsh Fed. In Section II, Roukaya, Matt, and Artem… by Doug Peta, Roukaya Ibrahim, Artem Sakhbiev, Matt Gertken Jul 30, 2026 Image The Summer Pause That Refreshes Section I maps how the broad distribution of wealth gains is supporting US consumption. Section II examines how countries can meet swelling electricity demand. The winners will find paths to build the… by Doug Peta, Jing Sima, Roukaya Ibrahim, Matt Gertken Jun 25, 2026 Image An Ocean Apart In Section I, Doug revisits the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and its implications for growth in Europe and the US. In Section II, Jonathan explores whether Kevin Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair… by Doug Peta, Jonathan LaBerge May 28, 2026 Image Capex, The Other K-Shaped Economy In Section I, Doug compares projected S&P 500 earnings and current capex to past cycles at the same stage of their expansions while also exploring the K-shaped bifurcation in business investment. In S… by Doug Peta, Mathieu Savary Apr 30, 2026 Image Steering Portfolios Through The Strait Of Hormuz In Section I, Doug argues that investors should maintain mildly defensive positioning while awaiting the restoration of normalized shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz. In Section II, Jonathan… by Doug Peta, Jonathan LaBerge Mar 26, 2026 Image The Expansion Remains Intact In Section I, Doug recommends cutting US equity exposure in favor of Europe as reduced recession odds make it unlikely that the US will draw safe-haven capital flows. In Section II, Jesse ranks middle… by Doug Peta, Jesse Anak Kuri Feb 26, 2026 Doug Peta Head of Essentials Doug Peta helps investors efficiently apply macro analysis to their investment processes. His approach to investment strategy is founded on the study of cycles and is meant to cut through the barrage...
Doug Peta Head of Essentials Doug Peta helps investors efficiently apply macro analysis to their investment processes. His approach to investment strategy is founded on the study of cycles and is meant to cut through the barrage...
