Technology
As the SPX and a slew of other indices have vaulted to fresh all-time highs, a deeper dive into profit margins is in order. While the S&P 500's profit margins are benefiting from the one-time fillip of lower corporate taxes in calendar 2018, it is…
Highlights Globalization, technological progress, weak trade unions, high debt levels, and population aging are often cited as reasons for why inflation will remain dormant. None of these reasons are inherently deflationary, and in some contexts, they…
Underweight This week we have been highlighting winners & losers in a global trade war. With the vast majority of revenues coming from overseas and a high estimated import tariff exposure (please refer to Chart II-5 of the Special Report we published…
Dear Client, This week we are sending you a Special Report written by Mark McClellan, Chief Strategist, The Bank Credit Analyst, Marko Papic, Chief Strategist, Geopolitical Strategy and our very own Chris Bowes, Associate Editor, U.S. Equity Strategy. This…
Overweight (High-Conviction) The S&P tech hardware, storage & peripherals (THSP) index touched a new all-time relative high this week on the back of another stunning earnings outperformance by Apple. In our opinion, there are three numbers worth…
Highlights The regulatory or "stroke of pen" risk is rising on FAANG stocks - Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, and Google; The U.S. anti-trust regulatory framework was designed to curb anti-competitive actions but has evolved to focus mostly on consumer…
Dear Client, This week I am sending you a Special Report written by Mark McClellan, Chief Strategist of the monthly Bank Credit Analyst. Mark deals with the implications of the U.S./Sino trade war for U.S. equity sectors. He identifies the next products to…
In this Special Report, we shed light on the implications of the U.S./Sino trade war for U.S. equity sectors. The threat that trade action poses to the U.S. equity market is greater than in past confrontations. Perhaps most importantly, supply chains are…
Please note that our next publication will be a joint special report with BCA’s Geopolitical Service that will be published on Wednesday, August 1st instead of our usual Monday publishing schedule. Further, there will be no publication on Monday, August 6th…
Overweight (High Conviction) The S&P software index has continued to soar this year, helping the NASDAQ set an all-time high this week. Capex surveys are bouncing around the highest levels this millennium; such optimism has typically led software…