Hypermarkets
Highlights Portfolio Strategy Despite the Fed’s supra natural powers, the deep rooted global growth slowdown will likely win the tug of war versus flush liquidity, especially if the trade war spat stays unresolved and the U.S. dollar remains well bid, both of which undermine U.S. corporate…
Time To Buy The Hype (Part 1…
Time To Buy The Hype (Part 2…
Overweight
Defensive Shopping…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy Recession odds continue to tick higher, according to the NY Fed’s probability of recession model, at a time when global growth is waning, U.S. profit growth is contracting and the non-financial ex-tech corporate balance sheet is degrading rapidly. On a cyclical 3-…
Neutral U.S retailers have reported excellent sales numbers in the most recent quarter, most notably Walmart that delivered a surprising 3.4% same store sales growth number; the market has responded in kind and spared the S&P hypermarkets index that has held up well vs. the broad equity…
Neutral U.S retailers have been surging recently as customers have been piling in faster than they have in a long time. Walmart reported results last week showing a 4.5% increase in same-store sales and a 40% increase in online sales; the stock responded by rising more than 9%. Target…
Last week, Wal-Mart (WMT) surprised the market with exceptionally strong results, notably the 50% surge in online sales which followed a similar number the quarter before. The soaring internet sales are the culmination of a strategy to build up the infrastructure to compete online with Amazon, a…
Neutral Wal-Mart's (WMT) second quarter earnings provided some insight into a retail landscape that is in the midst of upheaval at the hands of Amazon. While a still-strong consumer (second panel) helped drive a 1.8% same-store sales increase, the real story was the 60% surge in online sales.…
Neutral The S&P hypermarkets index has been a stalwart performer YTD, outshining both the broad consumer staples universe and the overall market by a wide margin. However; this impressive run-up is unsustainable. Three main headwinds suggest that some caution is warranted: soft pricing…