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Germany

ドイツの工場受注が低迷、輸出の逆風が強まる …

このチャートブックでは、先進国(DM)および新興国(EM)の各国の国際収支を検討します。米国の状況は良くありませんが、他のいくつかの国も同様です。

欧州経済は高度を失いつつあり、2025年後半にはより不安定になる可能性があります。 欧州投資戦略ウェブキャストにご参加いただき、マチュー・サヴァリーとジェレミー・ペローゾと共に欧州市場の見通しを形作る主要な要因を詳しく検討しましょう。マクロリスクから市場ポジショニングまで、雑音を排除して分析します。

In this FX note, we provide a rationale for why it is important to pay attention to technical indicators, while still keeping your eyeball on the structural factors that drive currencies. This report answers the following questions: 1. Should you buy or sell the USD over a three-to-six month period from the pure lens of our proven technical indicators and 2. What are the best tactical cross trades among currencies. 

Business sentiment improved slightly in May, corroborating the message from other soft-data indicators of Eurozone business activity, which remain weak but are not plummeting. The increase in the future expectations index to 88.9 from 87.4 a month…
Germany's political transition supports long-term equity upside, but near-term growth risks justify caution. Friedrich Merz was narrowly elected Chancellor on Tuesday, but his fragile coalition and his decision to suspend the debt brake could lead to internal…
Our European Investment strategists maintain a defensive stance. Favor bunds as an emerging safe-haven complement to US Treasurys and a value tilt in equities. While the dollar and US fixed income remain the global anchor, EUR/USD bullishness has become…

Are bunds the new Treasurys? The euro and German debt are gaining favor as safe havens, but markets may be overplaying the shift. Our latest report dissects what's durable, what's not, and how to trade the dislocation.

US Treasuries typically outperform both equities and global government bonds during downturns. Recent political shifts could lessen that outperformance this cycle, but we doubt it will disappear completely.

Europe’s deflation problem is getting harder to ignore. This week’s ECB cut is just the beginning — tariffs, the euro’s rally, and softening demand all point to more easing ahead. We explain what it means for yields, equities, and EUR/USD.