Sorry, you need to enable JavaScript to visit this website.
Saltar al contenido principal
Saltar al contenido principal

Alemania

La economía europea está perdiendo altitud; y la segunda mitad de 2025 podría ser más turbulenta. Únete a Mathieu Savary y Jérémie Peloso en nuestro Webcast de Estrategia de Inversión Europea mientras analizamos los factores clave que están dando forma a las perspectivas de los mercados europeos. Desde los riesgos macroeconómicos hasta el posicionamiento del mercado, eliminamos el ruido.

In this FX note, we provide a rationale for why it is important to pay attention to technical indicators, while still keeping your eyeball on the structural factors that drive currencies. This report answers the following questions: 1. Should you buy or sell the USD over a three-to-six month period from the pure lens of our proven technical indicators and 2. What are the best tactical cross trades among currencies. 

Business sentiment improved slightly in May, corroborating the message from other soft-data indicators of Eurozone business activity, which remain weak but are not plummeting. The increase in the future expectations index to 88.9 from 87.4 a month earlier…
Germany's political transition supports long-term equity upside, but near-term growth risks justify caution. Friedrich Merz was narrowly elected Chancellor on Tuesday, but his fragile coalition and his decision to suspend the debt brake could lead to internal…
Our European Investment strategists maintain a defensive stance. Favor bunds as an emerging safe-haven complement to US Treasurys and a value tilt in equities. While the dollar and US fixed income remain the global anchor, EUR/USD bullishness has become…

Are bunds the new Treasurys? The euro and German debt are gaining favor as safe havens, but markets may be overplaying the shift. Our latest report dissects what's durable, what's not, and how to trade the dislocation.

US Treasuries typically outperform both equities and global government bonds during downturns. Recent political shifts could lessen that outperformance this cycle, but we doubt it will disappear completely.

Europe’s deflation problem is getting harder to ignore. This week’s ECB cut is just the beginning — tariffs, the euro’s rally, and softening demand all point to more easing ahead. We explain what it means for yields, equities, and EUR/USD.

The combination of dollar weakness and rising US yields suggests global investors are questioning the safe-haven status of US Treasuries.

With economic headwinds building and fiscal dynamics shifting, bond markets are at a turning point. Our latest note outlines why German bund yields are set to decline and why UK gilts are poised to outperform — and how to position accordingly.