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Probabilities For The US Primary Election

by Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist  

Stocks perform worse in presidential election years than average years, especially in the first half of the year, and especially if the ruling party ends up falling from power. Investors should take risk off the table until the unemployment rate peaks.

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BCA Research | US Political Strategy

This strategy is unlike any other financial market research on US politics and policy because we use the geopolitical method, not Beltway conventional wisdom, to analyze risks and opportunities for major equity sectors.  

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