It's Brexit, Stupid!
Published on
The Brexit vote is a coin toss. We introduce a simple model to estimate the effect of a "stay" or a "leave" vote on various currencies and assets. A "leave" vote could cause GBP/USD to fall to 1.32 or less, creating a tactical buying opportunity. Extreme GBP implied volatility suggests that selling vol is attractive. The Fed decreased its rate projections.
BCA Research | FICC
One macro framework for rates, FX, credit, and commodities, helping investors connect cross-market signals and position with clarity and conviction.
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