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Could Democrats Win The House Of Representatives?

by Yushu Ma, Associate Editor   Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist  

Republicans are favored in the House and Senate even if they do not win the White House. A Democratic sweep is a 20% risk. The policy implication would be inflationary, but not so much as under a Republican sweep. Election uncertainty should increasingly weigh on cyclical and high-beta assets in the second half of 2024.

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BCA Research | US Political Strategy

This strategy is unlike any other financial market research on US politics and policy because we use the geopolitical method, not Beltway conventional wisdom, to analyze risks and opportunities for major equity sectors.  

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