Strategy Report
Can The RMB Withstand More Fed Rate Hikes?
The downside risks to the RMB are mainly an overshoot of the dollar as the Fed raises rates. The PBoC will allow the RMB to fall against the dollar if the dollar strengthens broadly, but a freefall is not in the cards. The RMB is unlikely to fall more than 5% against the dollar in the next 12 months, unless the latter appreciates by over 10% in trade-weighted terms.
BCA Research | China Investment Strategy
BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.
Stay Connected with BCA
Get our latest events and research insights delivered to your inbox.