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Trump Convicted, Biden Turns Hawkish Abroad

by Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist  

Democrats remain slightly favored for the White House because they are the four-year incumbent presidential party and the economy is not in recession. But if the unemployment rate rises in the lead up to November, then Biden and Democrats will become disfavored regardless of Trump’s convictions.

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BCA Research | US Political Strategy

This strategy is unlike any other financial market research on US politics and policy because we use the geopolitical method, not Beltway conventional wisdom, to analyze risks and opportunities for major equity sectors.  

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