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GeoMacro Strategy Insight

Iran-Israel Conflict: Fade Stocks, Stay Long Oil

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Iran has launched a salvo of ballistic missiles towards Israel on October 1 in retaliation for Israeli ground invasion against Lebanon. Thus far, the attack looks to be a bit different from the attack in April, with ballistic missiles making up the bulk of the reported projectiles. This means that the emphasis on drones, which were highly unsuccessful, has been replaced with an emphasis on missiles.

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A blend of geopolitics and macro, synthesizing the new and old macro to generate alpha and identify the beta through probability-weighted market views.

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