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Essentials

Concise macro insight that cuts through daily noise, helping clients stay informed on what matters in markets, why it matters, and how to talk about it, without spending hours reading research.

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Bank Credit Analyst We are pleased to share this Special Report rolling out our Global ETF Strategy (GETF) service's model ETF portfolios. We are in the latter stages of developing the digital interface that will serve as the central nervous system for the GETF service and are excited to be rolling it out next month. In the meantime, the GETF team has embarked on its regular bi-weekly publication schedule. An ETF Primer Special Report will follow on October 26. It will discuss ETF architecture, operation and trading, and is meant to help investors determine how they can best deploy ETFs to accomplish their tactical and strategic goals.
Bank Credit Analyst This month's Special Report looks at the Fed's policy options in the event that there is a negative economic shock while the policy rate is still very depressed. The Fed's "Plan A" is more QE and forward guidance, which are not up to the task. There is no "Plan B", which means that risk assets will be hit hard during the next downturn.
Bank Credit Analyst This month's Special Report looks at the Fed's policy options in the event that there is a negative economic shock while the policy rate is still very depressed. The Fed's "Plan A" is more QE and forward guidance, which are not up to the task. There is no "Plan B", which means that risk assets will be hit hard during the next downturn.
Bank Credit Analyst The complete annihilation of all human life represents the mother of all tail risks. We estimate that there is a 50% chance that doomsday will occur by 2290, and a 95% chance that it will occur by 2710. If the risk of doomsday is elevated, what is an investor to do?
Bank Credit Analyst Investors are being forced into riskier asset classes by the TINA effect, but the gaping macro disequilibria makes it difficult for investors to see how we move back to equilibrium in a benign way. Monetary policy on its own is limited in its ability to soften the adjustment, but the good news is that the political pendulum is swinging toward fiscal stimulus.
Bank Credit Analyst Investors are being forced into riskier asset classes by the TINA effect, but the gaping macro disequilibria makes it difficult for investors to see how we move back to equilibrium in a benign way. Monetary policy on its own is limited in its ability to soften the adjustment, but the good news is that the political pendulum is swinging toward fiscal stimulus.
Special Report The question of how far central banks should go in their efforts to boost growth is becoming increasingly controversial. In this Special Report, BCA Chief Economist Martin Barnes outlines his personal view that monetary policy has done enough. He will debate this issue with Peter Berezin, BCA Chief Global Strategist at next month's BCA Conference in NY.
Bank Credit Analyst The 35-year bond bull market is coming to an end and the downward sloping trend channel for yields is changing to flat. Asset allocators should trim duration and fixed income exposure.