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Listen to a short summary of this report.     Executive Summary Sentiment On Sterling Is Depressed  The pound will suffer in the short term, setting the stage for a coiled-spring rebound. Cable is extremely…
Listen to a short summary of this report.       Executive Summary Chinese Stocks Are Relatively Cheap  The Chinese economy faces a trifecta of economic woes: 1) The threat of renewed Covid lockdowns; 2)…
Executive Summary Return Of The 'Pocketbook Voter'  President Biden’s pledge to fight inflation ahead of the midterm elections got a boost with the Gulf Arab states pledging to increase oil production in July and August…
Executive Summary What Will Be The Implications Of China’s Common Prosperity Policies?  On the one hand, Chinese stocks are oversold, equity valuations are attractive and investor sentiment is downbeat. This means that a lot…
Executive Summary Investors face a dilemma. The faster that inflation comes down, the better it will be for valuations via a stronger rally in the bond price. But if a collapse in inflation requires a sharp deceleration in growth, the…
Executive Summary EU Embargoes Russian Oil  The EU imposed an embargo on 90% of Russian oil imports, which will provoke retaliation. Russia will squeeze Europe’s economy ahead of critical negotiations over the coming 6-…
Special Report Executive Summary European Spreads Have Cheapened Up More Than US Spreads  Corporate bond spreads in the US and Europe have widened since early April, with European credit taking a bigger hit because of worsening growth and…
Executive Summary Selloffs across financial markets and evidence of decelerating growth have reminded us to play it close to the vest, but they haven't made us bearish. The stability of intermediate- and long-run inflation…
Listen to a short summary of this report.         Executive Summary US Financial Conditions Have Tightened Significantly This Year  US financial conditions have tightened by enough that the Fed no…
Executive Summary Markets Priced For A Restrictive Level Of Australian Rates  The neutral interest rate in Australia is lower than in past cycles, for several reasons: low potential growth, weak productivity, high household…