Hard-Budget Constraints In China, Soft-Budget Constraints In The US?
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The threat of import tariffs and US growth outperformance versus the rest of the world will continue supporting the US dollar rally over the near term. Nevertheless, the Trump administration’s medium- to long-term goal will be a US dollar devaluation to boost the country’s manufacturing competitiveness. We will recommend upgrading EM stocks and bonds when we downgrade our US dollar view.
BCA Research | CoreMacro
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