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The Critical Hour: Geopolitical Outlook, Q4 2024

by Yushu Ma, Strategist   Max Malakhveitchouk, Senior Analyst    Matt Gertken, Head of GeoMacro   Junfei Guo, Research Analyst   Jesse Anak Kuri, Strategist  

Markets are rallying on Fed rate cuts and China stimulus but there will also be October surprises ahead of the US election, which Trump could still win. Russia’s conflict with the West is escalating and the Middle East is destabilizing further. Investors should favor US bonds but they should add some risk in emerging markets in response to China’s policy turn.

BCAリサーチ | Geopolitical Strategy

A blend of geopolitics and macro, synthesizing the new and old macro to generate alpha and identify the beta through probability-weighted market views.

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