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Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for March 2024.
Special Report In this Special Report, we introduce our UK Linkers Golden Rule – a framework to profitably trade and invest in UK inflation-linked bonds versus nominal UK gilts. The Rule is currently signaling that nominal Gilts should outperform UK linkers over the next year as UK inflation slows.
We update the indicators in our duration checklist following this morning’s employment report.
This week, we review our currency positions, based on the latest data from G10 economies.
Qatar’s strategy to raise LNG output 84% by 2030 is a bold bet DM demand for energy security – and EM demand for affordable electricity to support economic and population growth – will remain a higher priority than eliminating fossil-fuel consumption over the next 20 years. This will accelerate the development of a global LNG spot market, which will increase demand for LNG tankers.
In this Strategy Insight, we take a comparative look at two of the largest spread product sectors in Europe – Italian government bonds and investment grade corporates. We make the case for favoring Italy over investment grade in the event of a downturn in European economic sentiment.
In this insight, we provide an update on the Norwegian krone, with attractive trade ideas over a long-term horizon. Shorter-term, our neutral-to-positive view on the dollar keeps us on the sidelines for USD/NOK.
Naturally occurring hydrogen as a clean-energy source has the potential to satisfy significant energy demand growth at low cost. Oil and gas E+P companies and pipelines are ideally positioned to take a leading role in this clean-energy evolution, given their core competencies include large-scale resource extraction, storing and transporting gaseous commodities. Blending gold hydrogen with natural gas in pipeline systems could accelerate the industry’s learning curve in finding and delivering clean-energy fuels.
The first in a series of Strategy Insights where we present a checklist for extending duration in each major government bond market. This first entry focuses on the US.
Special Report In this week’s report, we release an update to our long-term REER valuation model and expected future returns for major currencies.