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Report
Although Value has had a meaningful run, the longer-run Growth trend likely remains intact. However, benchmark Growth indices are increasingly concentrated. Sector-neutral and within-sector implementations may allow investors to retain much of the same Growth/Value exposure while reducing dependence...
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Report
The war in the Persian Gulf has achieved a temporary balance thanks to the Cold War-era Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) logic. After Israel attacked Iran’s South Pars natural gas field, Tehran retaliated across the region against energy infrastructure. Specifically, Iran’s attack against Qatar’s Ra...
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Report
WTI is relatively calm amid the current conflict in the Middle East. Markets are too complacent on US crude relative to other international benchmarks. ...
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Report
Higher oil prices threaten the global economy, warranting an underweight stance on equities. Over the long haul, industrial metals will fare better than crude....
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Report
We discuss the takeaways from this week’s central bank meetings amidst the unfolding energy price shock. ...
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Report
Forced to choose between growth and inflation, the Fed will save growth and the stock market rather than the 2 percent inflation target and the bond market....
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Report
The Fed will not cut rates again until core inflation trends lower. This remains likely as the tariff impact on goods inflation wanes, but the recent energy price shock could delay any meaningful downtrend....
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Report
This screener report builds on the macro risk portfolio framework developed in the US Equity Strategy and Equity Analyzer collaboration published on 9 March 2026. Here, we apply the framework to analyze recent Middle East hostilities and identify how bottom-up equity positioning should adapt as the ...
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Report
Overnight, the Israeli military reported that it managed to kill two high-profile Iranian leaders: the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and the leader of the internal paramilitary group, the Basij. Meanwhile, the Gulf States reported more interceptions of drones and missiles from I...
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Report
The market narrative around the Gulf conflict rests on three flawed myths: the UAE is not “finished,” Iran cannot close Hormuz indefinitely, and the war is not fundamentally about China....
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