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Essentials

Concise macro insight that cuts through daily noise, helping clients stay informed on what matters in markets, why it matters, and how to talk about it, without spending hours reading research.

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Bank Credit Analyst Our sense is that the current reflation trade will extend into the summer, sending stock and commodity prices higher and the U.S. dollar down. Global government bond yields should rise during this phase. Beyond the near term, we expect these reflation trades to go into reverse. Stay defensive.
Bank Credit Analyst We do not expect Russia and OPEC members to reach a production-limiting agreement at the April 17 meeting in Doha, but that does not diminish our bullish expectations for a rebalancing of oil markets in H2 2016.
Bank Credit Analyst Several tail risks appear less ominous compared to last month. Nonetheless, the earnings outlook has not improved and the FOMC will turn more hawkish ahead of the June meeting. Stay defensively positioned.
Bank Credit Analyst Several tail risks appear less ominous compared to last month. Nonetheless, the earnings outlook has not improved and the FOMC will turn more hawkish ahead of the June meeting. Stay defensively positioned.
Bank Credit Analyst Several tail risks appear less ominous compared to last month. Nonetheless, the earnings outlook has not improved and the FOMC will turn more hawkish ahead of the June meeting. Stay defensively positioned.
Bank Credit Analyst The old cyclical market axiom that "nothing cures low prices like low prices" has never held truer than in today's oil market.
Bank Credit Analyst This month's Special Report reviews the main factors driving the "lower for longer" bond yield view. A key finding is that the demographically-driven portion of the expansion in world capital spending has come to a virtual standstill, representing a major hit to underlying demand growth.
Bank Credit Analyst This month's Special Report reviews the main factors driving the "lower for longer" bond yield view. A key finding is that the demographically-driven portion of the expansion in world capital spending has come to a virtual standstill, representing a major hit to underlying demand growth.
Bank Credit Analyst The U.S. corporate re-leveraging cycle is far more advanced than is widely believed. Corporate health looks only mildly better excluding the troubled energy and materials sectors. Mushrooming leverage ratios are not restricted to junk issuers either.