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Highlights Portfolio Strategy Most of the macro and operating indicators we track are sending conflicting messages on the anticipated direction in the cyclical/defensive ratio. Stay on the sidelines on cyclicals versus defensives.…
  Overweight In our most recent Special Report we outline why we believe the S&P industrials index is set to outperform the market. Among other reasons, industrials forward earnings breadth – defined as the net…
  First, industrials' forward earnings breadth – defined as the net number of sub-sectors with higher forward earnings revisions – has bounced off extreme lows signaling that the sell-off in relative share prices is…
Special Report Highlights Macro winds are slowly changing, compelling investors to take a second look at highly cyclical sectors such as industrials. In this Special Report we highlight that the S&P industrials index is trading at a nearly 10%…
Overweight   On January 3rd, the United States conducted a drone strike against two high-level targets near the Baghdad International Airport further fueling the tensions in the region. The US President has also warned that…
Feature The purpose of this Special Report is to identify and provoke a healthy debate on the prevailing investment themes for the 2020s and to speculate on what the key US sector beneficiaries and likely losers may be. Every decade a…
Special Report Every decade a dominant theme captures investors’ imaginations and morphs into a bubble. Massive speculation typically propels the relevant asset class into the stratosphere as investors extrapolate the good times far into the…
As 2019 draws to a close, we thank you for your ongoing readership and support. We wish you and your loved ones a happy holiday season and all the best for a healthy and prosperous 2020. Highlights We explore the principal risks to…
Special Report Feature The purpose of this Special Report is to identify and provoke a healthy debate on the prevailing investment themes for the 2020s and to speculate on what the key US sector beneficiaries and likely losers may be. Every decade a…
  Underweight – Upgrade Alert Two recent positive developments in railroad operating metrics compel us to put rails on an upgrade alert. Specifically, our operating margin proxy is expanding at a healthy pace (second…