BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service concludes that uncertainty about the passage of Biden’s budget reconciliation bill and the debt ceiling will cause volatility to rise in financial markets. With a one-seat de facto…
Highlights The greatest legislative battle of the Biden presidency will unfold between now and the end of the year. Biden’s bipartisan infrastructure deal is likely to pass the Senate soon but will have to cross…
BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service expects the Biden administration to pass a bipartisan infrastructure deal – as well as a large spending bill by Christmas. Ten Republicans are now slated to join 50 Democrats in the…
Highlights China’s July Politburo meeting signaled that policy is unlikely to be overtightened. The Biden administration is likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure deal – as well as a large spending bill by Christmas.…
Highlights Globalization is recovering to its pre-pandemic trajectory. But it will fail to live up to potential, as the “hyper-globalization” trends of the 1990s are long gone. China was the biggest winner of hyper-…
Highlights The Delta variant will continue causing jitters but there is much greater evidence today than there was in early 2020 that humanity can curb the virus, both with vaccines and government stimulus. Delta jitters will…