A decision is expected shortly on whether President Joe Biden will roll back some of the Trump-era tariffs on imports from China. Voices within President Biden’s administration are divided. US Treasury Secretary Janet…
Executive Summary China: GeoRisk Indicator A new equilibrium between NATO, which now includes Sweden and Finland, and Russia needs to be reestablished before geopolitical risks in Europe subside. Russia aims to inflict a…
In this Strategy Outlook, we present the major investment themes and views we see playing out for the rest of the year and beyond.
Executive Summary Unhappy Households Make Unhappy Voters US polarization while down is still near historic peaks. Negative sentiments are forming among households and businesses due to inflation and high gas price, which…
Executive Summary Russia Squeezes EU Natural Gas Major geopolitical shocks tend to coincide with bear markets, so the market is getting closer to pricing this year’s bad news. But investors are not out of the woods…
Executive Summary Biden Can Take Risks With Russia President Biden will make a last-ditch effort to mitigate Democratic losses in the midterm elections and the effect will be still-high policy uncertainty and erratic US…
Executive Summary At our monthly view meeting on Monday, BCA strategists voted to change the House View to a neutral asset allocation stance on equities, with a slight plurality favoring an outright underweight. The…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary Higher Real Yields Have Weighed On Equity Valuations I had the pleasure of visiting clients in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and Abu Dhabi last week.…
According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service, there is little basis for a substantial US-China re-engagement that improves the global macroeconomic environment over the coming years. The Biden administration…