Geopolitics
Russo-Chinese Alliance And The US Dollar…
Executive Summary The US inflation surprise increases the odds of both congressional gridlock and recession, which increases uncertainty over US leadership past 2024 and reduces the US’s ability to lower tensions with China and Iran. Despite the mainstream media narrative, the Xi-…
Executive Summary Inflation Surprise Reinforces Gridlock And Fiscal Drag
A Politicized Fed? Another Blue Sweep? And Other Risks…
Will Iran Crisis Be Averted…
Executive Summary US Military Constraint: Strait Of Hormuz
Will Iran Crisis Be Averted…
Dear Client, We will not be publishing the Commodity & Energy Strategy next week, as I will be participating in a panel discussion with Dr. Bassam Fattouh, Director of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (OIES), which will focus on global energy markets and their evolution. Our…
Dear Clients, Next week we will attend the BCA Investment Conference in New York. Therefore we will not publish our regular report. We will resume regular publication in the week of September 12. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience. Thank you, Matt Gertken, Senior Vice President US…
Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Only Beginning…
Executive Summary Our negative view on the summer rally is coming to fruition, with equities falling back on the negative geopolitical, macro, and monetary environment. China is easing policy ahead of its full return to autocratic government this fall. Yet the Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis has…
Executive Summary Reshoring And FDI Job Creation Have Accelerated After The Pandemic
Industrials: A Trifecta Of Positives…