According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service, the Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis has only just begun. Tensions can still deal nasty surprises to global investors. The previous three crises ranged from four to…
Executive Summary Our negative view on the summer rally is coming to fruition, with equities falling back on the negative geopolitical, macro, and monetary environment. China is easing policy ahead of its full return to autocratic…
Executive Summary Reshoring And FDI Job Creation Have Accelerated After The Pandemic The US is entering a period of an industrial boom thanks to limited manufacturing capacity paired with strong demand for…
BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service concludes that negative surprises in the form of social unrest, political violence, and domestic terrorism usually cause only a short-term spike in financial market volatility. A…
Executive Summary US Support For A Military Coup? A confluence of structural and cyclical factors makes the US highly prone to social and political instability, as in 2020. Today’s stagflationary economic…
Executive Summary US Support For A Military Coup? A confluence of structural and cyclical factors makes the US highly prone to social and political instability, as in 2020. Today’s stagflationary economic…
Executive Summary Russia’s Crude Oil Output Will Fall Russia will have to lower oil production to ensure output it hasn’t placed with non-EU buyers does not tax its limited storage facilities, ahead of the bloc’s…
According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical strategy service, the odds of WWIII could be as high as 20% over the next two-years. The team presents a series of “decision trees” to formalize different scenarios…