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Listen to a short summary of this report.       Executive Summary Global Equities Are More Attractively Valued After The Recent Sell-Off  We tactically downgraded global equities in late February but see…
Executive Summary More Chinese Households Intend To Save Than To Invest  The Politburo meeting last Friday signaled that China is determined to achieve the 5.5% annual growth target set earlier this year. Policymakers vowed…
Listen to a short summary of this report.         Executive Summary Small Caps Are Looking Attractive Relative To Their Large Cap Peers  Adverse supply shocks have pushed down global growth this year…
Executive Summary Brent Stable As Demand + Supply Fall  Oil demand growth will slow this year and next by 1.6mm b/d and 1mm b/d, respectively. These expectations are in line with sharp downgrades in World Bank and IMF…
Executive Summary In this first of a regular series of ‘no holds barred’ conversations with a concerned client we tackle the hot topic of inflation. Month-on-month US core inflation has already peaked, 12-month US core…
Executive Summary China’s Daily New COVID Cases And City Lockdowns, 2020 To Present  The ongoing wave of local Omicron infections and city lockdowns pose the largest macro risk in China post Q1 2020. The current lockdowns in…
Executive Summary We have been constructive-to-bullish on financial markets and the economy since policymakers marshaled the full force of their resources to protect the economy from the pandemic in the spring of 2020. The…
Executive Summary Shanghai Is Extending Lockdowns Due To Exponentially Rising COVID Cases  The economic impact of China’s struggle with another wave of COVID outbreaks is showing up in March’s PMI and high-…
Executive Summary Equities Are Still Attractive Versus Bonds  Macroeconomic Outlook: Global growth will reaccelerate in the second half of this year provided a ceasefire in Ukraine is reached. Inflation will temporarily come…
Executive Summary China’s Business Cycle Has Not Bottomed  Recent data showed a substantial improvement in the economy in the first two months of the year. However, the optimism is not well supported by other industry and…