Canada
Highlights Global Duration: US Treasury yields have started to creep higher and the move is likely to continue in the coming months regardless of who wins the White House. Reduce overall global duration exposure to below-benchmark, focused on the US. Country Allocation: Based on our view that…
Canadian Capex Likely To Positively Surprise…
Highlights US Election & Duration: We estimate that there is an 80% probability of a US election result that will give a lift to US Treasury yields via increased fiscal stimulus. Those are strong enough odds to justify a move to a below-benchmark cyclical US duration stance on a 6-12 month…
Dealing With The Second (Or Third) Wave: Some Hopeful Signs From Canada…
Canadian House Prices: Watch Closely For Further Signs Of Weakness…
The CAD Will Underperform Other Commodity Currencies…
O Canada
O Canada…
Highlights Currency markets remain vulnerable to the upcoming US election, Brexit, and a resurgence of Covid-19 infections. Meanwhile, President’s Trump suggested “piecemeal” fiscal deal increases the odds of a correction in the near term. Stay short USD/JPY as a core holding. We eventually…
The BoC Is Slowly Opening The Door To A Taper…
To all clients, Next week, in lieu of publishing a regular report, I will be hosting a webcast on September 15th at 10 am EDT, discussing our latest views on global fixed income markets. Sign up details for the Webcast will arrive in your inboxes later this week. Best…