BCA Indicators/Model
Highlights The odds of a Goldilocks outcome for the US economy increased somewhat in August, but the risks of a US recession over the coming year remain quite elevated. We continue to recommend that investors stay neutrally positioned towards equities…
Executive Summary Upgrade Euro Area ILBs To Overweight
Upgrade Euro Area ILBs To Overweight…
Please note that there will no US Bond Strategy publication next week. Our regular publishing schedule will resume on September 6th with our Portfolio Allocation Summary for September. Executive Summary This report describes a framework for implementing…
Executive Summary More Regional Divergences Within Our Global LEI
More Regional Divergences Within Our Global LEI…
Dear Client, This week, the US Bond Strategy service is hosting its Quarterly Webcast (August 16 at 10:00 AM EDT, 15:00 PM BST, 16:00 PM CEST). In addition, we are sending this Quarterly Chartpack that provides a recap of our key recommendations and some…
Executive Summary Realized Real Interest Rates Must Rise
Realized Real Interest Rates Must Rise…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary The Euro And The Chinese Credit Impulse
The Euro And The Chinese Credit Impulse…
Executive Summary Government bond yields worldwide are falling due to fears of a global recession that will lead to monetary easing in 2023. This pricing is too optimistic with inflation likely to remain well above central bank targets next year. Even…
Executive Summary Italy’s right-wing alliance, led by Brothers of Italy, will likely outperform in the upcoming election. The new government will prioritize the economy, posing a risk to the EU’s united front against Russia. It is conducive to an…
Executive Summary China: Can The Economy Recover Without Housing Revival
Can The Economy Recover Without Housing Revival…