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CoreMacro Strategy Report

America First For Trump, Europe First For Investors

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US stock market outperformance has been driven entirely by the 0.0002 percent of US superstar companies. But this superstar outperformance is based on two highly questionable assumptions: that all productivity gains from the generative-AI revolution will go into corporate profits; and specifically, into the profits of the Web 2.0 superstars which will morph into the generative-AI superstars. As these assumptions become undermined in the coming quarters, relative performance will reverse, starkly. On a structural horizon, stay maximum overweight Europe versus the US. Plus: time to go underweight global financials (IXG).

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Investigación BCA | CoreMacro

BCA’s flagship global macro and investment strategy platform, helping investors anticipate regime shifts, connect signals across regions and asset classes, and navigate the world’s most difficult macro questions.

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