Trade War
Our Portfolio Construction strategists estimate a US 60/40 portfolio will return 6.9% annualized over the next 10-to-15 years, with a Global 60/40 at 7.0% for hedged USD investors. In real terms, those translate to 4.4% and 4.6%. The Global 60/40 assumption…
An investor might not guess it from the Trump administration’s impatience with bond-market, military and tariff roadblocks, but the US economy is faring just fine. Asset allocators should remain fully invested as per their benchmarks.
Canada may welcome a trade skirmish with the US. It has ample fiscal room with which to retaliate and its domestic political calculus – with bubbling risk of secession – means that fighting an external threat is a boon, not a bore.