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Eurozone industrial production declined by a larger-than-expected 2.0% m/m in October, following a 0.8% m/m expansion. Meanwhile, output growth slowed from 5.1% to 3.4% on a year-on-year basis. The energy sector (-3.9% m/m), durable consumer goods (-1.9% m/m)…
Conflicting forces are dominating the UK labor market. Data released on Tuesday revealed that the unemployment rate ticked up from 3.6% to 3.7% in the three months to October (the second consecutive increase), providing some evidence of cooling employment…
The ZEW survey of investor sentiment sent an upbeat signal about economic conditions in both Germany and the Eurozone in December. The headline index for Germany rebounded by 13.4 points to -23.3 while the Eurozone measure jumped 15.1 points to -23.6. Both…
Heading into 2023, BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service recommends fixed-income investors overweight Euro Area IG relative to both government bonds and US credit, while adopting a more cautious stance toward high-yield. European corporate…
We explore the eight major themes that will define economic and market trends for Europe next year.
The latest US and Eurozone CPI inflation releases both surprised to the downside, fueling optimism among investors that central banks will soon pivot. However, US labor market dynamics remain very tight. The November jobs and wage growth figures…
In this <i>Strategy Outlook</i>, we present the major investment themes and views we see playing out next year and beyond.
The UK Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS) house price net balance – which is calculated as the difference between the share of property surveyors expecting house prices to increase and those that expect declines – collapsed from -2 to -25 in…
The pandemic gave older Americans and Brits a massive carrot and stick to retire early. The carrot being a surge in wealth, the stick being a risk to health. In other major economies, the carrots and sticks were smaller or non-existent. Hence, the shortage of older workers, and the resulting wage inflation, is a specific US and UK problem. We go through the important economic and investment implications for 2023.
The December Sentix Economic Index sent a positive signal about investor morale. The overall index for the Eurozone jumped from -30.9 to -21 – beating expectations of a more muted improvement to -27.5. Both the current situation and expectations components of…