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Trump’s territorial ambitions threaten to deliver negative surprises and “black swan” risks during his four-year term. Military conflicts on the Mexican border raise the biggest risk, but US intervention in Panama can never be ruled out. The investment impact will be limited unless the trans-Atlantic alliance is damaged.
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BCA | GeoMacro
A blend of geopolitics and macro, synthesizing the new and old macro to generate alpha and identify the beta through probability-weighted market views.
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