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Strategy Report

China’s Business Cycle Versus Secular Forces

by Jing Sima, Chief Strategist   Arthur Budaghyan, Head of CoreMacro  

A low multiplier effect of stimulus will reduce the magnitude of the rebound in China's business activities in 2024. The housing market downturn will likely persist, and the ongoing household deleveraging also poses a significant challenge to China’s economic recovery.

BCAリサーチ | China Investment Strategy

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