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BCA China Strategy report with analysis and a chart tracking China’s credit impulse trends.

The report from last week’s National People’s Congress (NPC) indicates a gradual pullback in policy support this year. Fiscal thrust will be neutral in 2021, whereas the rate of credit expansion will be slightly lower compared with last year. 

China’s economy should run on its own momentum in the first half, before slowing to a benign and managed rate.